原帖由 nutrewag 于 2008-12-17 22:49 发表 
说的好。其实裁员是目的，不是手段，可能还是叫结构性调整更合适。要不是几年就弄个经济危机出来，哪有这么多借口可裁人呢。被裁者工资这三瓜两枣，大公司不会真的在意的，当然马上要倒闭的不算，能借机整合才是长远打算。 ...
retstructuring is just part of it.. most companies need to restrucutre because they need to survive (more cash, deleveraging)
cost cutting really matters, if you cut 1% of your stuff, it means nothing, but a lot companies are aiming at 10% costing-saving by cutting staff. (AT&T cuts 10k, Bank of American 35k through 3 years....)
This is going to be the worst recession since world war 2. Even from the most opportimistic view, the recovery may not take off until second half of next year. Futhermore, it will take several years for most companies to regain its current profitiablity, which means the best strategy for most companies is going to be "eliminating non-core business, keeping cost cutting and focusing on core R&D".
To be honest, I have to say I am very pessimistic over the economy of Europe for the next two years. As lacking of coordination and nessesary fiscal policy, the reaction of continent Europe is very slow in comparsion to U.S/China. In addtion, Germany, the engine of contintent europe, will fall into recession. This may cause serious problem of the growth of contintent Europe. As most countires are trying to stimulate domestic demand and try to keep job inland, trade protectsionism may come back and take its toll on international trade soon. We may see less offshoring, international trading activity in the coming years. Since the consumer sentiment in Europe may keep dropping, the exporting/importing & consumer products sectors may get hit the most. The unemployment rate will keep increasing. There is no fast remedy for this.
The good thing is consumer bargaining power will increase, and cost of living will go down significantly. (some sectors will outperform the economy, very likely infrasturcture/agriculture/health care).
[ 本帖最后由 flyheart 于 2008-12-18 11:24 编辑 ] |
登录
。。工资高低肯定是公司考虑裁谁的一个方面，毕竟要考虑‘性价比’啊，但我觉得一般都是综合考虑的。
