炒股的朋友们，不如大家一起来讨论

这一点，跟欧洲人(荷兰人就跟别提了)为人一样,没自己的主见，老是跟别人跑龙套。出头的事从来不敢，美国人叫他们出钱就出钱，叫他们出兵就出兵。

还是中国人有骨气，几回美股开盘都看中国的行情， 比如今天

BEFORE THE BELL: US Stock Futures Up On US, China Optimism
http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20090610-704263.html

原帖由 EXPAT 于 2009-6-10 22:05 发表
这一点，跟欧洲人(荷兰人就跟别提了)为人一样,没自己的主见，老是跟别人跑龙套。出头的事从来不敢，美国人叫他们出钱就出钱，叫他们出兵就出兵。

还是中国人有骨气，几回美股开盘都看中国的行情， 比如今天

BEFORE THE BELL: U ...

这个我倒是不很同意，很多欧盘蓝筹在美盘都有ADR 的，欧美市场的关联性很大。

国股基本上和香港的股市联系很大。

不过如果中股同美股的关联性高，风险系数也就高，市场热钱比率也就高。

原帖由 ppp_ooo 于 2009-6-10 21:52 发表


你的市场感觉太好了。 上午EUROSTOXX还升幅2％， 美盘开了以后，就一直开始掉了 ！

感觉的方面少，主要还是 长时间 用钱 买的经验。
不过最近一两周的美国 快收盘一个小时的走势 的确大大出乎我的意料，

市场 一点也不实在。
如果没有 惊人的实质的消息， 股市 有些缺乏方向。

原帖由 Pencil 于 2009-6-10 22:35 发表


感觉的方面少，主要还是 长时间 用钱 买的经验。
不过最近一两周的美国 快收盘一个小时的走势 的确大大出乎我的意料，

市场 一点也不实在。
如果没有 惊人的实质的消息， 股市 有些缺乏方向。 ...

同意你的观点，市场是缺少方向。 会有调整，但是是什么时候呢？ 6月中旬公司又开始发布季报了吧？

原帖由 ppp_ooo 于 2009-6-10 22:28 发表


这个我倒是不很同意，很多欧盘蓝筹在美盘都有ADR 的，欧美市场的关联性很大。

国股基本上和香港的股市联系很大。

不过如果中股同美股的关联性高，风险系数也就高，市场热钱比率也就高。 ...

Exactly as you have mentioned last post, check AEX@12:00 you can find the trend for the afternoon. If DOW open higher, AEX comes higher. and some would wait until 15:30, if it drops, AEX drops faster. But there is no reason for EU(local) market to be pessimistic.  So sentimental are the EUer.

啊呀，最近波动很厉害呀，有没有高人来指点下？

原帖由 头盔 于 2009-6-24 00:15 发表
啊呀，最近波动很厉害呀，有没有高人来指点下？

no one has the crystal ball...

the penny stock has been beaten pretty hard in the past several days.
the breadth and other technical indicators shows more further corrections on the way.

However, I believe the market will edge higher after this correction. Instead of shorting the market to death by using those inverse ETFs, I think the investors can allocate 20%-30% of their funds to the long side. If the market drops further 5% - 10%, allocate another 20%-30%. (pick up the stocks based on your own investment style)

For market timers, short the over-priced penny stocks is a better option than using the leveraged ETFs.

If investors can not bear the volatility and are more risk-averse, load some big caps......  Intel is undervalued

I fully agree with flyheart's analysis. DOW came down 6% and DAX down 9.1%. It is a wise strategy to buy low. with the current market situation, one should buy at the closing if the market tumbles 3%. In a long run, he/she makes money.

I think yesterday's low is the bottom of the current correction. Market will go up until next weekend. The reason is that several companies will announce figures before 3rd July. Personally, I think those figures will bring some good news to the market. After that, we should shift our attention to mid July. GS will announce its earning. I have a faith in GS.

My personal view. I would like to know others' comment.

Currently, I am playing with options, which is quite risky. It is kind of gambling and timing is really important.

any update from sombody?

For SPX, We are trading in a very narrow range. The market is in the neutural zone, which means the chance of breaking up or gapping down is 50% to 50%.

The China's stock and most emerging markets are running way ahead of real economic recovery. As the volume is reaching new high, investors should try to preserve the gains before the imminent  correction.

All in all, the market is perfect for swing and day traders as it provides plenty of technical setups. For value investors, patience is the key.